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Overround

The amount the probabilities behind a market's odds add up to beyond 100%, which shows how big the book's margin is.

Overround (marge) sounds technical, but it's simple. Turn every price in a market into a percentage, add them up, and see how far past 100% you land. That excess is the book's margin.

Example: 60-minute line on a Habs game

A regulation-only line has three outcomes, since the game can be tied after 60 minutes. Illustrative prices:

Outcome Odds Implied %
Habs win 2.60 38.46%
Tie after 60 4.10 24.39%
Ottawa win 2.35 42.55%
Total 105.40%

Overround: 5.4%. In plain words, the book pays back about 94.9% if bets come in balanced across the three outcomes.

Compare with Mise-o-jeu

When the online-only Mise-o-jeu+ launched in December 2015, Loto-Québec announced a payout rate of 90% on most bets. Flip it around: 100 / 90 = 111.1% total, an overround of about 11.1%. That's the kind of comparison overround lets you make in seconds. Prices change, so check current lines yourself.

Tips

  • Two-way lines like the moneyline often land a few points above 100%.
  • Futures and props run a lot higher.
  • Lower overround means better prices for you. See also vig.